A collection of 5 posts

Thinking In Bets
Life is two things, quality decisions and luck. Resulting bias: Weighting quality of decision to the outcome, ie. sane football call is criticized based on outcome.
The Book of Why
No mathematical equations for Cause and Effect. Statistics pushed this aside, correlation is not causation. Path Analysis starts to help here. So does Casual Diagrams. Data
On Writing well
The transaction No right way, but all need to commit you write, find the real man behind the angst of writing. Good writing is alive, has
Selections from Science and Sanity
We are organisms that abstract, meaning is context driven and terms are multi-ordinal. Language allows for passing down culture and knowledge and therefore ‘time binding’, it
Ray Dalio Principles
“Not knowing taught me more than knowing” Do we have common principles? Are we clear about them? Do we write them down? People can bootstrap their