Willem's Avenue

Book Notes

Antifragile

The blog post explores the concept of antifragility, contrasting it with fragility and risk, and discusses its applications and implications, particularly in the context of technology, non-linearity, and unintended consequences.

2019-01-15
Algorithms to live by

The post covers a diverse range of computer science concepts, including optimal stopping problems, explore/exploit dilemmas, sorting algorithms, caching strategies, scheduling approaches, Bayes' rule, optimization techniques, randomness in problem-solving, networking principles, and the importance of feedback loops in communication systems.

2019-01-15
Mastering the Market Cycle

Cycles, psychology, and risk play a crucial role in investing, driving prices and returns based on fear, greed, and distorted perceptions, necessitating a fundamentals-based approach balanced with cycle positioning.

2018-11-02
Superforecasting

Navigating the realms of predictability and unpredictability, this thought-provoking blog post delves into the intricacies of forecasting, offering insights on cognitive biases, collective wisdom, probabilistic thinking, and the pursuit of intellectual humility amidst inherent uncertainties.

2018-10-18
Deep work

The blog post highlights how technology allows for the segmentation of work, enabling top performers to thrive, while simplifying tasks for others, potentially leading to a lack of depth and the path of least resistance.

2018-10-15
Scaling Up Excellence

Excellence requires grit, focusing on ground battles over grandiose plans, and spreading the right mindset through subtle cues, accountability measures, cognitive load reduction, and leveraging social bonds, all driven by a sense of pride in one's work and organization.

2018-09-26
Oxford Guide to effective argument

The blog post provides guidance on developing clear and well-structured arguments by analyzing claims, identifying premises and conclusions, using precise language, and considering counterarguments.

2018-09-26
Good strategy / bad strategy

Good strategy involves clearly identifying challenges, providing a guiding policy to overcome obstacles, and coherent actions to execute the policy, while avoiding ambiguity, fluff, and an overabundance of goals.

2018-08-03
Thinking In Bets

Challenging our biases by treating decisions as bets on future outcomes fosters better decision-making and accountability.

2018-06-10
The Book of Why

Machine learning models can uncover patterns and associations in data, but cannot directly determine causal relationships without carefully designed experiments or strong assumptions.

2018-06-02
Designing Data Intensive Applications

In most applications built using general-purpose data stores, developers end up essentially building specialized data systems like caches, message queues, etc. on top through the application's APIs, hiding implementation details from clients.

2018-04-28
On Writing well

Good writing has a strong focus, clarity, liveliness, and authenticity that engages the reader by conveying ideas in a concise and compelling way while avoiding unnecessary clutter and jargon.

2018-02-07
The Coaching Habit

Highlighting the pitfalls of traditional coaching and advocating for a new approach focused on building micro habits through identifying triggers, practicing deeply, and fostering self-reliance.

2018-01-25
Selections from Science and Sanity

Language shapes human culture and knowledge, yet its limitations and primitive semantics can hinder true understanding and fuel regressive societal behaviors, even as technology advances.

2017-12-12
Payoff hidden logic that shapes our motivations

Motivation stems from a complex interplay of factors beyond mere happiness, encompassing meaning, personal investment, sense of control, and long-term aspirations that transcend individual projects or fleeting joys.

2017-10-22
Ray Dalio Principles

Not knowing taught me more than knowing about principles that shape decision-making, mental models to overcome biases, breaking down complex systems, being curious about differing perspectives, admitting weaknesses, focusing on fundamentals, and aligning incentives for the greater good.

2017-10-13
Sapiens

Exploring the history and evolution of human civilization, this post delves into the role of imagined realities, collaboration, and ecological impact in our species' rise to dominance over other hominids.

2017-08-13
Munger The Complete Investor

Learning from success and failure of others accelerates wisdom; checklists aid idea development; value investing principles define stock ownership, buying at discount, exploiting market folly rationally; investing is probabilistic; triage difficult investments; avoid stupidity unveils the wise path; skill lies in understanding and applying the required principles.

2017-05-06
Radical Candor

High-performing teams operate through open communication, debate to reach well-informed decisions, learning from results, and caring for team members' growth while challenging them directly.

2017-05-04
Competing against luck

Data provides valuable insights, but understanding the underlying causation of consumer decision-making through a "jobs-to-be-done" framework is crucial for successful product innovation and predicting market behavior.

2016-10-11